Pre-tourney Rankings
Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#293
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#302
Pace66.4#198
Improvement+0.5#144

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#261
Improvement-0.1#172

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#292
Improvement+0.6#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 324   Central Arkansas W 75-54 77%     1 - 0 +5.1 +2.7 +4.6
  Nov 17, 2011 136   @ Washington St. L 68-79 10%     1 - 1 -5.3 -3.9 -1.5
  Nov 22, 2011 322   @ UC Davis W 69-61 54%     2 - 1 -0.9 -2.1 +1.9
  Nov 26, 2011 209   McNeese St. L 63-68 41%     2 - 2 -10.8 -12.0 +1.1
  Nov 30, 2011 172   @ Cal Poly L 51-77 15%     2 - 3 -22.9 -12.8 -14.5
  Dec 02, 2011 96   @ Oklahoma L 53-82 7%     2 - 4 -20.5 -10.3 -12.8
  Dec 07, 2011 251   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 60-63 28%     2 - 5 -4.9 -15.2 +10.3
  Dec 18, 2011 272   North Dakota W 75-64 57%     3 - 5 +1.2 +3.0 -1.2
  Dec 22, 2011 230   Southeast Missouri St. L 76-77 47%     3 - 6 -8.1 +6.8 -15.1
  Dec 29, 2011 338   @ Northern Arizona L 64-73 66%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -21.2 -10.1 -11.7
  Dec 31, 2011 123   @ Weber St. L 63-74 9%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -4.5 -7.3 +2.3
  Jan 07, 2012 254   Northern Colorado L 53-61 54%     3 - 9 0 - 3 -17.0 -23.2 +5.5
  Jan 12, 2012 213   Eastern Washington L 60-65 42%     3 - 10 0 - 4 -11.1 -13.0 +1.7
  Jan 14, 2012 300   Idaho St. L 67-68 66%     3 - 11 0 - 5 -13.3 -12.2 -1.1
  Jan 19, 2012 292   @ Montana St. L 65-72 37%     3 - 12 0 - 6 -11.6 -10.2 -1.4
  Jan 21, 2012 95   @ Montana L 56-85 7%     3 - 13 0 - 7 -20.4 -8.8 -12.4
  Jan 26, 2012 123   Weber St. L 60-75 23%     3 - 14 0 - 8 -15.3 -14.5 -1.3
  Jan 28, 2012 338   Northern Arizona W 77-43 85%     4 - 14 1 - 8 +15.0 +1.1 +16.5
  Feb 02, 2012 254   @ Northern Colorado W 73-62 29%     5 - 14 2 - 8 +8.8 -0.3 +9.8
  Feb 04, 2012 213   @ Eastern Washington W 75-71 20%     6 - 14 3 - 8 +4.7 +4.9 -0.1
  Feb 09, 2012 292   Montana St. W 86-76 63%     7 - 14 4 - 8 -1.4 +1.4 -3.5
  Feb 11, 2012 95   Montana L 58-67 18%     7 - 15 4 - 9 -7.2 -12.0 +4.8
  Feb 15, 2012 207   @ Portland St. L 67-85 20%     7 - 16 4 - 10 -17.0 -8.3 -9.3
  Feb 18, 2012 263   San Jose St. L 67-79 55%     7 - 17 -21.4 -9.9 -11.9
  Feb 23, 2012 207   Portland St. L 88-94 41%     7 - 18 4 - 11 -11.8 +4.4 -15.9
  Feb 25, 2012 300   @ Idaho St. W 70-67 40%     8 - 18 5 - 11 -2.5 -8.2 +5.7
Projected Record 8.0 - 18.0 5.0 - 11.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%